Mixed Signals in the Housing Market?

Growing home sales graphic  designThe economy and the housing market seem to be at a cross roads right now with some economic indicators showing signs of growth and others showing signs of stalling or a slight retraction.  It seems as though everyone is holding their breath to see if the Fed will decide to begin tapering this next month or continue its rounds of bond buying.

For the month of June, U.S. single-family home prices rose at a slightly slower pace than in previous months.  The S&P/Case Shiller composite index which is comprised of 20 metro areas around the U.S. rose .9% on a seasonally adjusted basis.  May’s number was a 1% increase.  If you compare home prices year-over-year in June they jumped 12.1%.  This is down slightly from May’s year over year jump of 12.2%.  Could this be a signal the housing market is cooling?

On CNBC’s “Squawk on the Street”, Robert Shiller, Case-Shiller Index co-founder & Yale University professor of economics said on Tuesday, “Obviously we’re in a housing recovery, at least for the short term…Housing is a market with momentum and right now, the momentum is up…In the single family realm, I think that there is a chance that there is a weakening and there is all this fear about the tapering… The housing market has gotten very speculative and it goes through big cycles…It’s a roller-coaster, that’s what these markets have become.”

Home prices are still up double digits from a year ago but home sales show a more mixed picture of the housing market.  Last week the new homes sales figure dropped 13.4% in July to its lowest level in 9 months.  This was well below economists’ expectations and could be attributed to the increase in mortgage rates over the last few months.  However, existing home sales for July were strong and jumped 6.5% from June according to Mortgage News Daily.  Pending home sales index showed signs of weakness; it fell 1.3% from June to July.  This could be a foreshadowing of weaker home sale closures in the next few months.

Chief economist of the National Association of Realtors (NAR), Lawrence Yun, commented on these recent housing market figures. “The modest decline in sales is not yet concerning, and contract activity remains elevated, with the South and Midwest showing no measurable slowdown.  However, higher mortgage interest rates and rising home prices are impacting monthly contract activity in the high-cost regions of the Northeast and the West.”

The month of September should give a clearer understanding of the direction of this current housing market.  Until these next figures are released, it seems that the housing market will try to decide whether it’s still in a bull market.

For information on effective ways to manage institutional and individual portfolios nationwide, or to shop for real estate visit First Preston HT.  Like us on Facebook. Follow us on Twitter.

Sources: http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/home-sales-existing.aspx

http://www.cnbc.com/id/100993579

http://www.cnbc.com/id/100988918

Wait Times Shorten for Past Foreclosure Borrowers Seeking FHA Loans

The financial crisis that began in 2008 affected most Americans in some big fashion or another.   Whether it was the loss of a job, home, savings and/or retirement fund, or mounting student debt loans with no job prospects for new graduates, Americans are slowly regaining the financial foothold they lost.

The economy has shown traction in job creation.  Unemployment claims have dropped to near 6 year lows and the housing market appears to be thriving; U.S. existing home sales, released this week, jumped to their highest level in over 3 years to 6.5% in July.  The slight bump in mortgage rates does not seem to be deterring homebuyers just yet as rates are still historically very low.

But some have not been able to take advantage of this opportunity of low rates.  Several CLose Up One Hundred Dollar BillAmericans are still dealing with the effects from the massive foreclosures that ensued.  As they work to rebuild their credit and finances, and once again attempt to lay claim to the American Dream of home ownership, a new change in the FHA loan rules should help make this easier to accomplish.

The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) has amended the waiting period for borrowers who foreclosed on their home and are seeking to qualify for an FHA loan.  Originally, the wait time to qualify was 3 years after a foreclosure and 2 years after the conclusion of a bankruptcy.  Now, borrowers who sought bankruptcy, foreclosure, short sale, or deed-in-lieu can hope to qualify for an FHA loan in as little as 12 months if they meet certain requirements.

Borrowers will have to show proof that household income fell at least 20% for the last 6 months and that this drop was attributed to unemployment or some other event out of the borrower’s control.  Also required, proof of 12 months of house payments made on time, documentation showing at least 1 hour of approved home counseling completed and evidence the borrower has fully recovered from the event.  This new change for FHA loans are applicable to case numbers assigned on or after August 15, 2013 and will be effective till September 30, 2016.

Upon announcement of these changes, Commissioner of the FHA, Carol Galante, stated that the “FHA recognizes the hardships faced by these borrowers, and realizes that their credit histories may not fully reflect their true ability or propensity to repay a mortgage.”

This may be the break that some borrowers were hoping to catch.  It will be interesting to see how much this contributes to new and existing home sales over the coming months, if at all.

For information on effective ways to manage institutional and individual portfolios nationwide, or to shop for real estate visit First Preston HT.  Like us on Facebook. Follow us on Twitter.

Source:http://www.dsnews.com/articles/fha-trims-waiting-period-for-borrows-who-experienced-foreclosure-2013-08-19

Mortgage Rates and the Purchasing Power of a Dollar

Recent testimony by Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke, has indicated a desire to begin tapering quantitative easing (QE) over the next few months but has stressed that interest rates will remain unchanged until certain economic indicators reflect an improving job market.  Interest rates have been held at record lows while the economy tries to get moving at full speed again.  Bernanke has stressed that he will continue to keep interest rates close to zero percent at least until 2015.

But mortgage rates have already started to climb as the housing sector grows legs.  The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage for this week is 4.56% and the 15-year fixed-rate mortgage is 3.62%.  While historically this is still low, these rates have increased by about 1% over the last 3 months.  Mortgage rates haven’t moved this much at such a quick pace since 2009.  So what does this mean if you are looking to purchase a home in the near future and why should you care about mortgage rates and monetary policy decisions by the Fed?

When mortgage rates rise, the purchasing power of the dollar diminishes in regards to home buying.  The degree to which it diminishes depends on how much mortgage rates fluctuate (inflation has a strong effect on purchasing power too, but that’s another conversation).  A home buyer is more concerned with the monthly cost and affordability of the house rather than just the sticker price of the house.  This is where mortgage rates can dictate how much home is actually affordable.

puchasing-power-mortgage-rates

As Mortgage Rates Rise, Purchasing Power Falls

A 1% increase in mortgage rates will reduce purchasing power by 10.75%.  Likewise, if rates decrease by 1%, a homebuyer will gain a 10.75% increase in your buying power.  What does this look like?  A homebuyer originally decided they could afford to purchase a $600,000 house when rates were at 4.5% (assuming a 30 year loan).  If rates jumped to 5.5% they would now only be able to only afford a $535,000 house.

Even though mortgage rates are starting to creep up, they are still historically at all-time lows which translate into historically high purchasing power.  Comparing rates from early 2011 to late 2012, purchasing power grew more than 22% and has continued to grow as mortgage rates have continued to fall.

The longevity of this current mortgage rate environment will be affected in part by Bernanke’s actions to begin tapering QE and raising the Federal Funds Rate, which could lead to further gains in mortgage rates.  It will be interesting to see if the increase in mortgage rates recently have a negative effect on July’s Pending Home Sales from June’s Pending Home Sales number.

For information on effective ways to manage institutional and individual portfolios nationwide, or to shop for real estate visit First Preston HT.  Like us on Facebook. Follow us on Twitter.

Sources:

http://www.bankrate.com/finance/mortgages/mortgage-analysis.aspx  http://themortgagereports.com/6354/mortgage-rates-purchasing-power

 

Technology For Real Estate: Dallas Agent Reboot Tips (Part 3 of 3)

Technology for Real Estate

Technology for Real Estate

Cutting edge technology for real estate professionals took center stage in Dallas at an Inman News event. Inman Agent Reboot is an exceptional high-energy, tech-centered traveling show from Inman News.

Presenters shared first-hand knowledge of cutting-edge technology for real estate marketing and business operations. Speakers   provided actionable business improvement tips in a steady stream. The focus of each presentation is how to maximize business effectiveness. Agent Reboot demystified technology for real estate practitioners.

At the Dallas venue we captured tons of technology tips, tried-on several of them and decided to share tools that made a big impression. There were so many outstanding tips, apps and techniques that we decided to present brief recaps in a 3-part series. This is the third segment in the series. The focus of this segment is three system tools that minimize operating costs and maximize productivity.

System Tools:  Maximize Productivity

BetterVoicemail.com—Allows agents to customize the response that callers receive in accessing voice mail, improving the chances prospects will get answers quickly and efficiently.  The system converts voice mail messages to text messages facilitating expedited responses.  Provides performance reports to ensure no message gets left behind.

RingCentral—Presenter was a dynamic Broker (42 Agents) who reduced office communications bill from $560 per month to $62 per month with RingCentral, a Cloud-based phone system that does not require PBX hardware. It’s a virtual PBX. No desk phones needed. No office desks needed.

According to their website, “RingCentral comes with unlimited calling and internet faxing, as well as unlimited extensions. The automated call-distribution queue gives users the power to determine how you want to divide calls between agents, employees etc. RingCentral has a fully redundant network and comes with a 99.99-percent guarantee that the service will work all the time.” 580097_488177884526307_1691358186_n (1)

Google Voice—The average buyer shops online for as much as 18 months. When they call an agent for the first time; the agent has “8 seconds” to answer. Google voice allows a single number to ring on “6” phones at one time maximizing the chance that someone on the team will capture the opportunity. Also transcribes voicemail messages and delivers them to your inbox.

For information on effective ways to manage institutional and individual portfolios nationwide, or to shop for real estate visit First Preston HT.  Like us on Facebook. Follow us on Twitter.

Source: Inman Agent Reboot. Dallas, 2013

Nashville Area 1-A Selling Brokers: Buyer Select Training News

Attention  Nashville Area 1-A  Selling Brokers:

In the near future, HUD will be implementing a “Buyer Select” closing agent program in  Nashville Area 1-A.  All buyers whose contracts are executed on or after August 19, 2013, (tentatively) will select their own closing entity.

To introduce this program to the industry, HomeTelos will provide an overview of the Buyer Select Program to industry partners that are involved in the sale of HUD Homes. Please register for the Buyer Select Closing Agent Program at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/527867087529571072 (No Longer Active Link)

Webinar Training is as follows:

Event Name: BUYER SELECT CLOSING AGENT PROGRAM EXPANDING IN NASHVILLE AREA 1-A

Event Duration: Join us for a webinar on Wednesday, August 14, 2013 from 10:00-11:00 PM CDT

Event Description: The new “Buyer Select Settlement Agent” program will be introduced and an overview of the process will be provided.

Registration: The following is the registration link to register for the webinar: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/527867087529571072 (No Longer Active Link)

Register early as space is limited.

After registering, you will receive confirmation e-mail containing information about joining the webinar.

Please don’t forget to mute your phone, once you are on the call.  The code to mute and to unmute your phone is *6.  Also be sure to be on time as the virtual door will close once the meeting gets underway and late comers will not be allowed access to the call.

View System Requirements

Buyer Select News: Important Training for Nashville 1A NLBs

Man with Telescope overlooking cities TopMarketsAttention 1-A Neighborhood Listing Brokers, Nashville, TN Area:

In the near future, HUD will be implementing a “Buyer Select” closing agent program in the Nashville, TN Area.  All buyers, whose contracts are executed on or after August 19, 2013 (tentatively), will select their own closing entity.

To introduce this program to the industry, HomeTelos will provide an overview of the Buyer Select Program to industry partners that are involved in the sale of HUD Homes.

Please register for this mandatory Buyer Select Closing Agent training webinar at https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/6384383887041386496 (No Longer Active Link)

Event Name: BUYER SELECT CLOSING AGENT PROGRAM EXPANDING IN NASHVILLE, TN AREA

Event Duration: Join us for a webinar on Tuesday, August 13, 2013 3:00PM- 4:00PM CDT

Event Description: The new “Buyer Select Settlement Agent” program will be introduced and an overview of the process will be provided.

Registration: The following is the registration link to register for the webinar: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/6384383887041386496 (No Longer Active Link)   . The date/times for the Listing and Selling Broker webinars have changed. Participants, who had already registered, automatically received notice of the change through GoToWebinar notifications.

Register early as space is limited.

After registering, you will receive confirmation e-mail containing information about joining the webinar.

Please don’t forget to mute your phone, once you are on the call.  The code to mute and to unmute your phone is *6.  Also be sure to be on time as the virtual door will close once the meeting gets underway and late comers will not be allowed access to the call.

View System Requirements

Buyer Select News: Key Training for Missouri NLBs

 

HomeTelos Missouri Neighborhood Listing Brokers: Buyer Select Training

Man with Telescope overlooking cities TopMarketsEffective August 23, 2013, HUD will be implementing a Buyer Select closing agent program in Missouri.  All buyers whose contracts are executed on or after August 23, 2013, will now select their own closing entity.

To introduce this program to the industry, HomeTelos will provide an overview of the Buyer Select Program to industry partners that are involved in the sale of HUD Homes.

HomeTelos Missouri Neighborhood Listing Brokers, please join us for this mandatory Buyer Select Closing Agent training webinar.

Event Name: BUYER SELECT CLOSING AGENT PROGRAM EXPANDING IN MISSOURI

Event Duration: Join us for a webinar on Tuesday, August 13, 2013 11:00 AM – 12:00 PM CDT

Event Description: The new “Buyer Select Settlement Agent” program will be introduced and an overview of the process will be provided.

Registration: The following is the registration link to register for the webinar:

https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/7604727444662029824 (No Longer Active Link)

Register early as space is limited.

After registering, you will receive a confirmation e-mail containing information about joining the webinar.

Please don’t forget to mute your phone, once you are on the call.  The code to mute and to unmute your phone is *6.  Also be sure to be on time as the virtual door will close once the meeting gets underway and late comers will not be allowed access to the call.

View System Requirements

Attention Missouri Selling Brokers: Buyer Select News

Missouri Selling Brokers  You’re Invited:

AnnouncementEffective August 23, 2013, HUD will be implementing a “Buyer Select” closing agent program in Missouri.  All buyers whose contracts are executed on or after August 23, 2013, will now select their own closing entity.

To introduce this program to the industry, HomeTelos will provide an overview of the Buyer Select Program to industry partners that are involved in the sale of HUD Homes.

Webinar Training is as follows:

Event Name: BUYER SELECT CLOSING AGENT PROGRAM EXPANDING IN MISSOURI

Event Duration: Join us for a webinar on Friday, August 16, 2013 from 11:00-12:00 PM CDT

Event Description: The new “Buyer Select Settlement Agent” program will be introduced and an overview of the process will be provided.

Registration: The following is the registration link to register for the webinar: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/9017745021889108992 (No Longer Active Link)

Register early as space is limited.

After registering, you will receive a confirmation e-mail containing information about joining the webinar.

Please don’t forget to mute your phone, once you are on the call.  The code to mute and to unmute your phone is *6.  Also be sure to be on time as the virtual door will close once the meeting gets underway and late comers will not be allowed access to the call.

View System Requirements

Pending Home Sales Index Dips in June, Up 11% Over 2012

According to the June Pending Home Sales Index released by the National Association of Realtors® (NAR), contract signings are down a marginal 0.4 percent to versus prior month. Pending sales were still nearly 11 percent greater than those of a year ago.  Therefore, industry professionals and homebuyers, remain optimistic about overall market conditions. Housing demand is still strong and improving, however a jump in interest rates in concert with higher home values, lowered affordability according to the NAR. Interest rates were historically low for many months before the spike in May, and NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun noted the negative impact  on home affordability. Many regions— still suffer with inadequate existing home resale inventory.

In commenting on the June Pending Home Sales Index, Yun pointed out that a contract doesn’t always equal a closing. Buyers generally get pre-approved with a lender up front, but may wait to lock in their interest rate until they are under contract and clear to close on their home. This is sometimes as Pending-Home-Saleslate as two weeks before the closing date. “Some homebuyers may change their minds if the rate rises too much, which apparently happened with some sales scheduled to close in June,” Yun said.

Indeed, if a buyer’s rate rises too much, the loan payments can increase to the point where the home under contract simply isn’t affordable anymore, especially if the buyers are already pushing the debt-to-income ratio on the loan. The latest Pending Home Sales Index report reiterated that most markets across the U.S. continue to experience a shortage of housing inventory. With fewer homes to buy there may be fewer contracts executed.

In this month’s Pending Home Sales Index report, NAR forecasts an 8 percent increase in home sales over 2012, and a median price bump of 11 percent. Projections are based on year to date data and expectations of steady pending contracts for the remainder of 2013.

For more information on First Preston HT, visit our website at FirstPrestonHT.com. You can also find us on Facebook and Twitter.

Sources:
1) http://www.realtor.org/news-releases/2013/07/pending-home-sales-slip-in-june

Technology for Real Estate: Dallas Agent Reboot – Part 2 of 3

Technology for real estate has revolutionized the buyer’s shopping experience and transformed the sales and marketing process for real estate professionals. Inman News bridges the technology divide with Inman Agent Reboot, an exceptional series of events showcasing technology for real estate industry professionals. Last month we participated in the Dallas venue where we captured tons of technology for real estate tips, tried out several of them and decided to share our favorites. There were so many outstanding tips and techniques we opted to present them in a 3-part series. This is the second in the series. The focus here is on video marketing tools that deliver the wow. Technology-for-Real-Estate

Video Marketing Tools

  • BombBomb
    • Facilitates video emails, either singularly or as drip marketing campaigns.
    • Referenced glowingly several times during the conference.  Visit their website for demos.
  • Animoto
    • This time-saving power tool doubles as a private video production suite. Subscriber provides photos and video clips and Animoto turns them into an artful video.
    • It elevates virtual tours, captivates city/neighborhood tours and helps to commemorate personal milestones.
    • Background music options are available.
  • Videolicious
    • CEO, Matt Singer conducted a training session entitled “How to Create Effective Video.”  It was a fascinating live demo, complete with finished product. He demonstrated how to collect video snippets of key locations in a neighborhood and knit them together with audio narrative to create a cool “insider-neighborhood – walking tour” feel. Very effective. Here are his tips.

Video Marketing Tips:

a) If shooting with a camera phone, shoot with the phone in a horizontal position.
b) Use the “slow pan” technique to cover the target area.
c) Use small, subtle movements.
d) Use a “slow tilt” up and down to demonstrate the height or depth of a space.
e) Avoid overhead lights that can cause shadows. When photographing human subjects, have them face a light source such as a window whenever possible.
f) Consider purchasing a “wide angle lens” for your cellphone camera—costs about $20—to allow broader capture.
g) Turn up the energy! When on camera, rev up your energy level by about 150% versus your normal off-camera demeanor.
h) Use your expertise to add interesting verbal insights that viewers would not otherwise know. Use personalization to showcase best property features (e.g.: I love hosting dinner parties, and this dining room would be awesome for dinner parties!).
i) Use the “book-end approach.” Smile before pressing the “start” button and continue smiling while you press the “stop” button.

Visual Impact Tools That Help You Stand Out:

Cut through the clutter with these visual marketing tools that transform traditional graphics into miniature bill boards.

  • Over – Adds visual impact to photos. This app makes it possible to add a message or descriptor directly onto a photo. It uses eye-catching fonts that help the photo tell a captivating story.
  • Moo Business Cards  — Multi-function business cards allow cards to do double duty. Create a different image on each card in the deck. Showcase listings, inspiring quotes, or top local restaurants, etc. Moo offers “green business cards,” QR Code Business Cards, Facebook Cards, Luxe Cards, and full color two-sided cards, to name a few. Branded cards look great with listing photos on the reverse side.  While online take a look and see why their Luxe cards truly stand out.

In the next segment on Productivity you will learn how one enterprising broker with 42 agents reduced the  office communications bill from $560 per month to $62 per month.

For information on effective ways to manage institutional or individual portfolios nationwide, or to shop for real estate visit First Preston HT. Don’t forget to ’like’ us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter.

You can find the first part of our Technology for Real Estate blog series here.