Good news surrounding the housing market was released this week. It looks like the effects from abnormally cold weather hasn’t kept the housing market down as formerly suspected. January sales of new single-family homes was reported at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 468,000 units. This number showed a huge jump in sales, surging to a 5 ½-year high since July 2008.
Previously reported, December home sales were down 7 percent from the month prior. This number was revised upwards from 414,000 to 427,000 sighting just above a 3 percent increase. This revision equates to only a 4 percent drop in new home sales in December showing that the housing market might not have been hit as hard by the cold temperatures as mentioned last week.
The 9.6 percent jump in new home sales in January exceeded what economists had forecast; 400,000 units. The Northeast, which has been bearing the brunt of the cold weather, actually recorded a 73.7 percent increase, hitting a seven month high. The South reported a five-year high sighting a 10.4 percent rise in sales. Sales in the Midwest dropped 17.2 percent and the West recorded an 11 percent increase.
New home sales numbers reported from the Commerce Department are based on signed contracts with the house being in any stage of construction. Existing home sales data is provided by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) and they report once the sales contract has closed. Given this difference, new home sales usually lead existing home sales by a month or two as it can take 30-60 days for a closing on a house to occur. Pending home sales, which are also reported on from time-to-time in this blog, overcome the lagging effect of existing home sales and center around existing home sales where the contract has been signed but not currently closed.
Housing prices still continue to ramp up. The Case-Shiller composite index reported a 0.8 percent increase in prices in December from the prior month, which was higher than economists predicted. Year-over-year, the index reported a 13.4 percent rise. Higher costs of labor and construction materials have been attributed to the increase in home prices.
As we move closer to the spring season it will be interesting what the trend in new home sales along with existing and pending home sales will be.
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